Saturday, September 28, 2013

Study: 47% Of Jobs To Be Automated In 20 Years

In "The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?," it is estimated that 47 percent of U.S. jobs are at risk of being automated in the next 20 years.


(Slate) This does not mean that they necessarily will be automated (despite the way the study has been portrayed in some media outlets)—rather, the authors argue, it is plausible over the next two decades that existing and foreseeable AI technologies could be used to cost-effectively automate those jobs out of existence.

Machines may not (and probably won't) do the jobs the same way as people, however—just remember the last time you used an automated check-out system at a grocery store. There’s a difference between machines doing something cheaply and doing it well. Frey and Osborne took into account the possibility of such "task simplification" in their analysis.

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Posted By: Chris Carmouche