Sunday, October 28, 2012

Obama Repels Women

(National Review Online) I was skeptical about Thursday’s AP poll showing that Romney and Obama were now getting equal support from women voters. The swing was both too huge and too sudden to be entirely believable. But there is little doubt that women voters as a whole are swinging toward the Republican and that at the very least he will sharply reduce the president’s earlier and expected lead among women voters.

Some of this may represent female approval for Romney’s extravagantly calm and reasonable approach in the foreign-policy debate. But I have a suspicion that most women are not charmed by the “war on women” campaign that is meant to win them over — and that many women are repelled by it.

It is not, of course, aimed at all women. Karlyn Bowman, the AEI polling expert who is always coolly dispassionate in her analysis of opinion trends, tells me that it aimed at two groups of (largely unmarried) women voters: women with postgraduate degrees and younger women voters.

Both groups lean heavily toward Obama. But the second group, like its male counterpart, is generally apathetic and therefore unlikely to turn out to vote unless it is fired up by issues of interest to it. Hence the Obama campaign’s concentration on the issues of subsidized contraception and abortion and President Obama’s personal salesmanship of these issues via hip and edgy outlets such as Rolling Stone magazine and Jon Stewart’s show.

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Posted By: Chris Carmouche