Sunday, October 28, 2012

Latest State Polls Are Raiding Eyebrows

(National Review Online) Two new state polls were released that have bucked the recent polling trends in both states.

In Minnesota, the Star Tribune poll shows a tightening race, with Obama up only 3, 47 to 44. Their last poll in mid-September had Obama up 8. Romney is up by 1 with independents and has shrunk the gender gap since last month. The sample of the poll is 38 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican, and 29 percent independent or other.

In 2008, Democrats topped Republicans by only 4 percent, meaning that this poll is actually working with a larger edge for Democrats in turnout than 2008.

The Ohio News poll is drawing even more attention this morning as they show an even tie at 49 percent. This is a change of 5 points from mid-September when Obama led 51 to 46. The tightening is due to Romney’s improving among males, high-school and college graduates, and in every age group outside of 18- to 29-year-olds.

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Posted By: Chris Carmouche