Thursday, October 18, 2012

Behind The Polling Data: Obama Is Getting Slapped

(Western Journalism) Reading some of the polls on the presidential election can be confusing. But among the more reliable surveys, two stand out as more well-grounded: Rasmussen and the Battle Ground Poll. The latest Rasmussen survey of American’s partisan identification shows Party registrations as follows: 36.8% are Republican, 34.2% are Democrats, and 29% are Independents.

There are no current surveys of how many Democrats will vote for Mitt Romney or how many Republicans will vote for Barack Obama. Nevertheless, the latest George Washington University Battle Ground Poll shows Romney getting 92% of the Republican vote while Obama is getting just 87% of the Democrat vote.
Running Rasmussen’s number on registrations with the Battle Ground Poll’s data, we find that Romney’s 92 % of Republicans gives him 33.856 points, and Obama’s 87% of Democrats gives him 29.754 points. Rasmussen says that 29% of registered voters are Independents. The Battle Ground poll says that Independents support Romney 56/40.

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Posted By: Chris Carmouche